.jpg)
Borrowing power is not a single number handed down from on high. It responds to how your file is built. These are the levers I pull for clients.
The Reserve Bank lifted the cash rate three times this year, in February, March and May, and it now sits at 4.35%. On top of that, lenders do not assess you at your actual rate. They assess you at your rate plus a buffer of 3 percentage points, a rule set by the regulator, APRA. So when rates rise, the assessment rate rises with them, and the buffer magnifies the effect. A loan you would pay at around 6% is stress tested at closer to 9%.
This hits new borrowers far harder than existing ones. Your current repayments may not have changed much, but what a lender will approve for a fresh purchase has moved a lot. That gap between what I can afford and what I am allowed to borrow is the whole game in 2026.
Waiting for rates to fall is not a strategy. Most forecasters do not expect cuts until well into 2027. The buyers who do well in this market are the ones who optimise what they can control right now.